Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.046719 0.050815 0.054966 0.059479 0.064240 0.069108 0.074454
2024-10-27 0.040704 0.046779 0.053158 0.060330 0.068141 0.076365 0.085653
2024-11-03 0.035116 0.042515 0.050550 0.059858 0.070284 0.081541 0.094553
2024-11-10 0.031075 0.039492 0.048914 0.060129 0.072998 0.087194 0.103927
2024-11-17 0.028078 0.037322 0.047964 0.060936 0.076141 0.093224 0.113691
2024-11-24 0.026749 0.036940 0.048950 0.063882 0.081684 0.101979 0.126607
2024-12-01 0.023164 0.033502 0.046030 0.061969 0.081347 0.103805 0.131451
2024-12-08 0.020706 0.031254 0.044367 0.061396 0.082459 0.107218 0.138070
2024-12-15 0.018677 0.029384 0.043023 0.061080 0.083772 0.110792 0.144834
2024-12-22 0.017917 0.029124 0.043675 0.063224 0.088086 0.117978 0.155945
2024-12-29 0.016815 0.028302 0.043520 0.064281 0.091012 0.123468 0.165031
2025-01-05 0.015764 0.027467 0.043278 0.065170 0.093691 0.128641 0.173744
2025-01-12 0.014129 0.025709 0.041742 0.064346 0.094212 0.131218 0.179408
2025-01-19 0.013221 0.024952 0.041529 0.065249 0.096948 0.136575 0.188550
2025-01-26 0.011949 0.023548 0.040330 0.064754 0.097818 0.139561 0.194753
2025-02-02 0.011029 0.022613 0.039739 0.065041 0.099686 0.143803 0.202540
2025-02-09 0.010352 0.022009 0.039581 0.065894 0.102285 0.148977 0.211516
2025-02-16 0.010334 0.022481 0.041015 0.069001 0.107945 0.158142 0.225621
2025-02-23 0.009001 0.020640 0.038897 0.066983 0.106601 0.158185 0.228081
2025-03-02 0.008133 0.019520 0.037806 0.066379 0.107138 0.160647 0.233622
2025-03-09 0.007402 0.018576 0.036934 0.066046 0.108014 0.163535 0.239706
2025-03-16 0.007281 0.018742 0.037814 0.068308 0.112521 0.171261 0.252110
2025-03-23 0.006929 0.018446 0.037933 0.069423 0.115423 0.176864 0.261783